Saturday, May 06, 2006

OPINION: Who's the Best BC QB Since '98?

We've had five; Jason Lutz ('98-01), Robbie Jenkins ('00-02), Brandon Wakefield ('02-04), Jacob Lewis ('04-05) and Jeff Highfill ('04-present).

I'll provide the statistical analysis, looking only at stats from games the five aforementioned Bridgewater quarterbacks started. Since there is such a disparity in games started by the five QBs (i.e. Lutz in 44 and Highfill in four), it's only fair to examine averages. Therefore, I've chosen to present six statistical career categories; pass efficiency, pass completion percentage, passing yards a game, passing touchdown/interception ratio, rushing yards a game and yards per rush.

Clearly, statistics aren't efficient enough when trying to surmise who 'the best quarterback' is. Some will say it's impossible to compare players who were in their prime during different seasons. Not to mention football is a team sport, with 10 other guys out on the field with the QB at all times (sometimes 11, but that costs five yards). So how can you say 'QB A' is better than 'QB B', when 'QB A' had better players surrounding him? Well, if you take that approach, then how are you arriving at 'QB A' having better players surrounding him? Perhaps the QB made the players around him better? How do we really know?

The reason for the digression is to point out that a 'best QB' discussion is not a perfect science. Just because someone has a better winning percentage, or has won more playoff games, or has a higher pass efficiency rating, doesn't necessarily mean they're better. The reality is, Bridgewater has been blessed with terrific athletes and leaders at the quarterback position the last eight years. It's also safe to say that the individuals playing along side them have been pretty darn good as well. Also, I don't think there is much disparity in the talent we've fielded since 1998.

Enough rambling. Let's get to the analysis.

Jason LutzWe'll start with Jason Lutz. Recruited as a linebacker out of high school, Lutz came to the Eagles and started right away - at quarterback. He went 0-10 his freshman year, 5-5 his sophomore year, and then led the Eagles to the NCAA playoffs for the first time in 2000 and then all the way to the National Championship game his senior year in 2001. That turnaround, alone, might convince people he's the obvious choice. If it wasn't for Lutz, would Jenkins have come? Would Wakefield? Lewis? Highfill?

Of the five QBs, Lutz has the worst completion percentage (51.6) and the second lowest passing yards per game average (143.8). Remember, he was recruited to be a linebacker, so he naturally was a run first, pass second, quarterback. He averaged the most rushing yards a game (55.3) and had the most yards per rush (4.9). And to his credit, his passing touchdown to interception ratio was 1.74 to 1, better than Jenkins and Highfill. And here's the most alarming stat; he had more rushing touchdowns (39) than he did interceptions (34). At 5'11'', 220 lbs, it seemed Lutz would rather bowl over people than step back and pass. That helped the Eagles to a 4-2 NCAA playoff record under his direction. Lutz was offered a contract by the Norfolk Nighthawks (a now defunct Arena Football League team) after he graduated, but he never signed it.

Robbie JenkinsNext is Robbie Jenkins (6'2''/223 lbs), who ran off the best record as a starter going 12-1. His only blemish came at the hands of the 2002 National Runner-up Trinity (Texas) in the second round of the NCAA playoffs. Jenkins, in his 13 starts, was the most statistically prolific when it came to passing. He averaged 197.6 yards through the air, completing 54.6% of his passes. The knock against him was his ability to run. Of the five QBs, Jenkins had the least yards per game (21.5) and the lowest yards per carry (2.5). Not to mention his touchdown to interception ratio (1.71 to 1) was second worst.

What some might not have known is that in the first game he suited up as an Eagle, the 2000 season-opener at McDaniel (then called Western Maryland), he was asked to start for an injured Lutz. Jenkins, only a sophomore, led Bridgewater to a 19-7 win over a Green Terror team that finished the season 10-2 and made the second round of the NCAA playoffs. Jenkins finished the game with an impressive stat line of 19-for-29 passing for 228 yards and two touchdowns (no interceptions). Jenkins is currently the starting quarterback for the Richmond Bandits (an American Indoor Football League team). He led the Bandits to the AIFL title last season.

Jacob Lewis (left) and Brandon WakefieldThen came along Brandon Wakefield. He started all 25 games in 2003 and 2004, winning 20 of them. He had three playoff wins under his belt, leading the Eagles to the NCAA semifinals his junior year. Wakefield was the most statistically balanced of the five QBs, not having the best in any category, but also not having the worst. He had a career completion percentage of 52.2 in his 25 starts, passing for 186.1 yards a game and scoring 2.1 touchdowns to every interception. He rushed for 22.1 yards a contest and 3.3 yards per carry. Wakefield is now in his second season playing for the Montabaur Fighting Farmers, a professional team in Germany.

Jacob Lewis, a transfer from William & Mary, would be the third straight Bridgewater QB to come from the Division I-AA level (Wakefield also came from W&M and Jenkins from Liberty). He started nine of the ten regular season games, going 8-1, before getting injured. Sure, he didn't get to start a playoff game for the Eagles, but he was the most statistically efficient quarterback we've had since '98. Lewis completed 63% of his passes, tossed 2.2 touchdowns per interception, passed for 160.7 yards a contest, rushed for another 25.8 and racked up 4.8 yards per carry. He also fumbled the ball only three times, losing none of them to the opponents.

Had it not been for his second half performance against McDaniel (his only loss) where he tossed three interceptions and failed to reach the endzone after building a 19-point lead in the first half, then Lewis just might have been hailed the best QB we've had. But keep in mind that that was his first start in five years (dating back to high school).

Jeff HighfillFinally, let's look at Jeff Highfill. As a sophomore, he took over the reigns after Lewis' injury late last season. It's tough to compare his statistics to the other four QBs, seeing that three of his four games he started were in the playoffs. He completed 59.7% of his passes for 139.3 yards through the air and scored one touchdown for every interception thrown. He averaged another 29 yards on the ground each game, gaining only 2.6 yards a carry. Never-the-less, it's impressive he led the Eagles past two Top 25 opponents en route the NCAA Quarterfinals.

The following are the pass efficiency ratings based only on their starts;

Jenkins - 150.00
Lewis - 145.85
Wakefield - 132.31
Lutz - 130.67
Highfill - 128.95

So there you go. I've provided the statistical analysis of Bridgewater's last five QBs, it's now up to you to form your own opinion. If you're having trouble identifying what makes one of them 'the best,' then think about it this way; if you could choose one of the quarterbacks to start for us in 2006, who would it be?

I've opened this blog post to anyone who wishes to comment with their opinion. I do ask that no one posts "Highfill's the best because he's my dawg." As much as that may be true, and you all are certainly entitled to your opinions, I want to keep this discussion as instructive as I can. Because of that, I will be moderating comments, but only to rid the blog of the "my dawg" ones.

If no one voices their opinion over the next couple days, I'll post mine to get things going. I'd like to think I have a good feel for the five quarterbacks (beyond the stats) seeing that I've attended 72 of the 75 games the last six years. But even if you're unfamiliar with one or more of the QBs, I think I've provided enough information for you to share your thoughts.

7 Comments:

At 9:51 AM, May 08, 2006, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hey Kid,

I would have to pick between Jacob and Lutz. My pick would be Jacob Lewis by a little bit.

I played with every QB except for Lutz. So I can only base my opinion with what I saw on film and read about him.

I remember seeing Lutz as more of a runner than a passer. And alot of them passes he threw wasn't as accurate like the rest but he had a great wide recieving core. I saw the receiving core from 2002 and it was awesome with dre, rat, lehto, etc. To think that the recievers before that year was better with PJ and Marcus that's crazy. Also he had Davon Cruz probably the best RB ever to step foot on campus. You have to credit the teama round him a little bit. But the thing that made Lutz good was his experience and leadership.

What made me pick Lewis was that he is the most accurate Qb and he was smart with the ball(unlike Highfill a.k.a brett Farve). He only lost one game and that was because the defense gave away that game to McDaniel. He was cool in the pocket and trust his linemen to make blocks (unlike Wakefield). The only thing that was a knock on lewis was that he wasn't a good vocal leader, but why talk when you are making plays.

I feel that if you put Lewis on that 2001 team and put Lutz on the 2005 team. It would be close but I think Lewis would pull out to be better overall QB. sss

 
At 5:57 PM, May 08, 2006, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Kid,

Lutz, hands-down. It might be because I saw Lutz play like 10 times (against Catholic in '98, '99, the lightning game at JHU, the playoff run, etc.) but I think it's because I saw him play in the Stagg Bowl.

Question him all you want, pigeonhole him as a runner, but I remember that throw hitting Richardson in stride like it was yesterday. And if the Stagg Bowl were, say, 63 minutes long, you guys would have Walnut and Bronze, because I don't think Mount Union was going to stop you on a final drive that night. And that was with Cruz on the sidelines, what, the entire second half?

Lutz was not just an option quarterback, he was a winner, enough that we broke our own All-American rules to get him on the team.

 
At 6:21 PM, May 08, 2006, Anonymous Anonymous said...

If you ask me i think Jenkins could have been great, he by far threw better than anyone ever at BC. I think without many arguments Lutz takes the cake.
Lutz-the best
Jenkins-threw the best, just played 3 of his four years behind Lutz.
Wakefield-okay arm and could run pretty well, there were some games
i'd like to forget (McDaniel '04) but he did take us to the semi-finals and his first year as a starter was tough because we had no back-up and couldn't use him up to his potential.
Lewis- threw very well,but I thought Highfill was the best to begin with, However I'd like to see him as Jeff's Back-Up this year.
Highfill- could be the next Lutz,showed extreme talent in all of his starts,dispite Wesley, can't wait to see him back on the field.

oh llama you can call me gene's son.

 
At 9:47 PM, May 08, 2006, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Who else could it be? The one who took us to the Stagg Bowl:Jason Lutz. We may become dazzled by great stats, but in the end, what is most important is winning. QBs like Tom Brady and Brett Favre are admired most not because they had the greatest stats, but because they performed in the clutch and won. Who can forget the great heart Lutz showed in the Rowan game and in the Stagg Bowl itself. The fact that he rallied BC nearly all the way back from a 30-13 deficit against Mt. Union speaks volumes. Of course we can get caught up in glittering stats, rifle arm, running ability,having "all the tools",etc. There have been many QBs through the years that had all those things and not had anything to show for it. Lutz may not have had the greatest arm, but his toughness and will to win ensured his greatness. Mr. Highfill may one day supercede him, but for now the greatest BC QB since '98 is Jason Lutz.

 
At 6:47 PM, May 10, 2006, Anonymous Anonymous said...

In my experience with three of the five quarterbacks, I think i would have to go with jenkins. From a receiver stand point, that man put the ball on the money. Sometimes didn't make the best decisions but was very confident in his decisions because he knew his receivers would make the play. Lutz was the big run threat so we didn't have to pass too many times when he was running the option. i wish i was around longer to see sunshine mature more but he was a very good qb when i was there. So out of my 3 seasons that i saw playing time my pick would be Jenkins.

 
At 2:37 PM, May 11, 2006, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Well Kid, this is your Delaware driving connection, Big Mike...

I would have to go with Lutz, he brought BC to where they are today. I don't think we get the QB's we got without him, and while Wakefield probably has the best stats, like Pat C said, Lutz was a winner. Even though we lost that year to Mount Union, I think his presence willed us to come back and make a game out of that. Now, eventually it could be Jeff Highfill entering this conversation, but I think we need to see him over a full season. I would rank the BC QB's in the following manor...

1) Lutz
2) Wakefield
3) Jenkins
4) Lewis

Finally, Highfill gets an Incomplete, until he completes his first full season as a starter and leads us to a 10-0 regular season and a #1 seed in the South Region!

LETS GO BC!

 
At 8:21 PM, May 22, 2006, Anonymous Anonymous said...

No need to have the poll, in my opinion. Lutz hands down. Perhaps more so because he worked his magic when no one knew who Bridgewater was. Enough said.

 

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